The first year: a full cycle of seasons, stable food, tools and schooling
What a group should have by the end of year one: repeating food supply, seed, materials, small electrical power, health records, a school.
Quick answer
A year is one full cycle: plant, grow, harvest, store, endure winter, plant again. By the end you should have two harvests of seed, a root cellar, sustainable wood and clay supplies, trained helpers for each skill, and written agreements with neighbours.
Part of Day Zero, the plan for an AI-related crisis that gets out of control. Why it exists. General information, not medical advice: how these guides are reviewed.
The first year
A year is one full cycle: plant, grow, harvest, store, endure the winter, plant again. If a group completes that, it is stable. This guide is about what to have by the end.
Food that repeats
- Two harvests' worth of seed saved and stored in more than one place.
- A root cellar or a dry store for grain, tubers, beans; cured, dried, fermented foods for the winter and the hungry gap before the next harvest.
- Orchard and perennials: fruit and nut trees, berries, asparagus, herbs. They take years: plant in the first year to eat in the third.
- Rotate crops and fields; manure and compost for fertility; water management (ditches, ponds, rain tanks).
- A reliable way of storing and recording what you have: counts, dates, rations.
Materials and tools
- Wood and charcoal sustainably managed (coppice). Charcoal is the first step to metalwork.
- Clay for bricks, tiles, pots. Lime for mortar and plaster. Stone and earth for building.
- Leather, wool, linen, rope. A loom and a spinning wheel serve a whole community.
- Iron: salvage first (scrap steel is plentiful for years), and small forges to reshape it. Smelting new iron from ore is a late step; see the rebuild path.
- Soap, vinegar, lime, salt: the chemistry of hygiene and preservation. Salt (from the sea, springs or mines) is trade-worthy.
Energy
- Wood, water and sun first. A small stable electrical system (solar panels, a charge controller, batteries or a hand-crank) is enough to power a reader, a radio, a few lights.
- Learn to repair solar panels, wiring and batteries from salvage; they will outlast the shops.
Health and population
- Records of births, deaths, illness, to see patterns.
- Trained helpers: midwives, first aiders, a person who can pull a tooth and set a bone.
- Look after mental health: grief is real. Shared meals, rest days, songs and stories.
Knowledge and school
- A reading room with the reader device and printed key pages.
- Teaching: every child learns reading, arithmetic, safety, farming, and one craft.
- A library of paper for the vital: medicine, farming, water, crafts, maths.
- Apprenticeships keep craft skills alive.
Other groups
- Treaties and trade with neighbours; agree on shared water, grazing, and paths.
- Share knowledge: copy your archive for another group and ask them to copy yours.
End of year one
- One complete season cycle survived and recorded.
- Food, seed, fuel and shelter secure for the next winter.
- At least two trained people for each essential skill.
- A functioning school and a library.
- Written agreements with neighbours.
From here the questions change from "how do we survive?" to "what do we rebuild first?". That is the rebuild path.
Common questions
What defines a stable settlement?
Surviving one full season cycle with food, seed, fuel and shelter secure for the next winter.
When should I plant fruit trees?
In year one to eat in year three.
How soon should children go to school?
As early as possible, with whatever you have.